Critical Bits

August 30, 2006

Every other day …

Filed under: Daily Wrapup — Lowell @ 2:10 pm

Echo, echo, echo …. This looks much like a repeat of Monday’s (8/28) action. A quick, tradable pullback followed by a day of sideways oscillation. The range was a little wider, and if you play divergences it was possible to catch several of the swings.

The pullback over the first 30 minutes gave a tradable entry as the moving averages showed a strong uptrend from yesterday. A very clearContinuation followed by rectangle pattern. stochastic pattern marked this second rise through yesterday’s high (green line.) Five points later, and the moving averages start intertwining for the rest of the day.

At 9:30 (Pacific) there was what I call a weak divergence for another long entry. [Weak because price didn't make a lower low.] I wouldn’t take the stochastic signal half an hour earlier because it was below both moving averages. For that I will usually wait for a divergence.

The new high at 10:30 came on lower volume and with another stochastic divergence. By the time you get the bottom at 11:45 you could have recognized the pattern as a rectangle, and it bounced to the top of the range in a straight line. Once again, the clearest and best trades are coming in the first hour. Tomorrow and Friday may be non-events as everyone heads out for the last three-day weekend of the summer.  I think I’ll join them and post again next Tuesday.

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